Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 21.817624 24.754249 27.954305 31.702696 35.976224 40.700411 46.324059
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.394813 21.175222 25.602275 31.178146 38.026870 46.181683 56.654749
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 14.498500 18.803006 24.181885 31.417497 40.929458 53.053216 69.752530
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 12.399448 17.060655 23.250299 32.108915 44.527292 61.413372 86.282274
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.565151 15.366079 22.116109 32.359396 47.621698 69.695003 104.357572
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.389676 14.398025 21.834643 33.772418 52.636302 81.596829 130.005558
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.171863 13.167175 20.974417 34.189770 56.268080 92.143817 155.801583
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.928010 11.690433 19.498422 33.388981 57.843915 99.771842 178.509501
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.997373 10.573337 18.424769 33.071936 60.186982 109.137724 206.242382
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.460875 10.046174 18.269784 34.340064 65.591431 124.949023 249.255208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.050594 9.678627 18.339646 36.039715 72.141176 144.178762 303.232079
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.548523 9.055506 17.832718 36.541005 76.452815 159.898294 353.632271
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.930026 8.120336 16.604123 35.447274 77.460546 169.432202 393.843180
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.402255 7.284310 15.442259 34.293985 78.154822 178.540270 435.605563
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.033816 6.726025 14.774218 34.113080 81.042085 193.296457 494.924673
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.757680 6.325432 14.385458 34.508725 85.405126 212.566053 570.922275
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.488931 5.896986 13.863347 34.494961 88.791509 230.251145 647.684459
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.329964 5.701971 13.857729 35.771149 95.793701 258.927403 763.313503
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.131505 5.376960 13.482166 36.027019 100.154595 281.566054 867.897697
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.895968 4.919013 12.696365 35.037041 100.859528 294.166967 945.485017
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.715008 4.573429 12.144320 34.590498 103.054790 311.687591 1044.210868
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.623064 4.452258 12.173664 35.825955 110.603405 347.383155 1215.193691
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.554943 4.385940 12.344409 37.524408 120.018446 391.401462 1429.631751